The Atlantic hurricane season officially kicked off on June 1, and forecasters are sounding the alarm: this one could be a doozy. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), there is a 60% chance of an above-normal season, fueled by record-warm ocean temperatures and shifting climate patterns.
If you live anywhere along the East Coast—especially in densely populated areas like New York City—the message is clear: prepare now. Don’t wait for swirling satellite images and flashing warning banners to start thinking about batteries, bottled water, or evacuation routes.
NOAA expects 13 to 19 named storms this year, slightly more than the typical 14. Of those, 6 to 10 could become hurricanes, and up to 5 may reach major hurricane status, with sustained winds of 111 mph or higher—the kind that can knock out power, flood roads, and destroy homes.
Why the increased risk? Two main factors: record-warm Atlantic waters, which fuel storm intensity, and a shift to ENSO-neutral conditions (meaning neither El Niño nor La Niña is dominant). That creates a wide-open window for hurricane formation.
The good news? The first week of June is expected to be quiet. But meteorologists warn that this calm won’t last. Once ocean temperatures peak in late summer, storm activity could ramp up fast.
This year, NOAA has enhanced its forecasting capabilities with upgraded models and satellites, providing emergency managers with more lead time and improved precision.
Still, the best defense is personal preparedness. Whether you live in a coastal town or far inland, now is the time to review your emergency plan, check your supplies, and stay weather-aware. Hurricane season is here—and it’s not waiting for anyone.
